Corinthians renewed the hopes of its fans last Saturday on the field and in the betting shops. Firstly, the team beat Atlético-GO 3-0.
Furthermore, the game marked the debut of Memphis Depay. Consequently, more than 46 thousand fans attended Itaquera, setting an attendance record for the year.
The black and white club reached 28 points in the Brazilian Championship. However, the victory did not completely remove Corinthians from the relegation zone. Despite this, an optimistic scenario is already emerging on sports betting platforms.
Odds&Scouts, a sports data source, provides valuable information. At the same time, platforms such as Esportes da Sorte and Casa de Apostas offer their analyses.
According to these sources, Corinthians has an odds of 2.60 to be relegated. On the other hand, Atlético-GO has 1.03, Cuiabá has 1.16, Vitória has 1.53 and Criciúma has 1.99.
Corinthians odds at bookmakers
Surprisingly, Corinthians has a higher price than teams outside the relegation zone. For example, Vitória and Criciúma, even in better positions, have less favorable odds.
Timão’s recent improvement justifies this situation. Furthermore, the arrival of reinforcements such as André Carrillo and Depay positively influences the prospects.
However, the mathematics department at UFMG (Federal University of Minas Gerais) presents a different view. Their study, released after the 27th round, places Corinthians among the three teams with the greatest chances of relegation.
Therefore, there is a notable discrepancy between bookmaker analysis and academic research. The UFMG study points out different probabilities of relegation for teams. See the table below:
| Team | Probability of Relegation |
|---|---|
| Atlético-GO | 98,9% |
| Cuiabá | 82,5% |
| Corinthians | 47,4% |
| Vitória | 46% |
| Fluminense | 40,6% |
| Criciúma | 32% |
| Juventude | 15,2% |
| Red Bull Bragantino | 14% |
| Athletico-PR | 13% |
| Grêmio | 7,4% |
Corinthians 2024 season
Corinthians faces a challenging season. Despite being in the relegation zone of the Brasileirão, the team shows signs of recovery with the arrival of reinforcements such as Memphis Depay and André Carrillo.
The team is in the quarterfinals of the Copa Sudamericana, facing Fortaleza, and is looking to improve its position in the Brasileirão. Furthermore, the São Paulo team continues in the Copa do Brasil and will face Flamengo in the semifinals.
